Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Interesting Bottom Play

Chaparral Energy, Inc. CHAP

We noticed CHAP on our routine morning scan today, and wanted to highlight the current situation for the stock as a potential longer-term swing trade idea. We are attracted to the setup of the chart, which is presently exhibiting a classic double bottom. At the start of the calendar year, CHAP came off of the same lows and surged nearly 100% to the $8-range.

We also want to relay the cause of CHAP’s recent analyst upgrade. The company report a slew of operational and financial highlights in its recent 10-K pertaining to the company’s 4th quarter and full year 2018 performance.

CHAP Q4/FY 2018 Highlights

  • Recorded 2018 full year STACK production of 14.5 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d), representing a 52% year-over-year increase
  • Achieved 2018 full year total company production of 20.5 MBoe/d
  • Reported full year 2018 net income of $33.4 million, or 73 cents per diluted share
  • Achieved full year 2018 adjusted EBITDA, as defined below, of $125 million
  • Grew 2018 total proved reserves to 94.8 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBoe), which adjusted for 2018 divestitures marks a 35% year-over-year increase, and represents a PV-10 value of $686 million
    • Increased STACK proved reserves by 50% year-over-year to 74.1 MMBoe, while replacing 519% of STACK production
  • Invested $194.7 million in STACK drilling and completion (D&C) activities in 2018
  • Reduced total company lease operating expense per barrel of oil equivalent (LOE/Boe) almost $4 from $10.96 in 2017 to $7.24 in 2018
  • Strengthened the balance sheet by issuing $300 million of unsecured senior notes and increasing the borrowing base to $325 million in 2018 (>>View Source)

We’re going to be very interested to track the stocks progress on the heels of these revelations, and fully expect to see a sustain rebound attempt in the relatively near future.


Fresh Options Ideas:
DG Weekly $115-113 Puts

DLTR Weekly $103-101 Puts


Extended Watchlist:
INNT, DTCI, ORDO, AKTX, PLUG,

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: SPY Puts & More

SPDR S&P500 ETF (SPY) – Options Idea

We came up really big with some SPY options ideas just prior to the New Year break, and will look to continue that pattern today. The markets look to be gearing toward another slumping session, so we’re inclined to signal a range of of bearish ideas to correspond with the fund’s current activity.

We’re going to select the SPY 01/02 $248-245 Puts* for observation today, with the possibility of some considerable gain opportunities that would come our way with a bearish correction to last week’s bullish push.

Please note that these expire at the end of the day, and should thus be treated as Weekly options on a Friday. As we always mention in these instances: *Please do not attempt to trade options on the day they expire unless you’re a seasoned veteran trader with money to burn. While the potential rewards are great from this type of trading, the risk is equally grave.


Western Asset Mortgage Capital Corp.  WMC

We want to put WMC on watch as a Form-4 bottom play, after noticing that the CFO picked up a multi-million dollar block of shares toward the end of last week, just as the stock has been coming down to new 52-week lows.

We will put it on our radar and be looking for it to establish itself as a recovery play as we kick off this new trading year.


Extended Watchlist:
GNCA, EBR, AKER, WMC, PLUG, NDRA, FCEL, CPST, CCCL

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Happy New Year!

Huge Winners from Friday

We highlighted multiple options ideas on Friday, and are pleased to report that we found major success across the board. Despite closing flat, the markets as a whole produced an intraday run which was sufficient to push everything on our radar to huge gains. It was a great way to close out 2018 with a bang, especially considering the poor trajectory we were on just a few sessions prior.

SPDR S&P500 ETF (SPY) – For the SPY we formulated two sets of ideas, one for calls and one for puts, and because of the market, both ideas were hugely successful. They were the  SPY Weekly $248-249.50 Calls, and the SPY Weekly $251-250 Puts. For the Calls, the crux of the gains came in the 2 o’clock hour, while the heaviest moves for the Puts came at Power Hour.

$248 Calls – Range: .84-3.47 – Max Gain: 313%
$248.50 Calls – Range: .64-2.80 - Max Gain: 338%
$249 Calls – Range: .50-2.50 – Max Gain: 400%
$249.50 Calls – Range: .40-2.05 - Max Gain: 410%

$251 Puts – Range: .81-3.81 – Max Gain: 370%
$250.50 Puts – Range: .62-3.21 - Max Gain: 418%
$250 Puts – Range: .43-3.02 - Max Gain: 602%
_______

Tesla, Inc. TSLA

We also had a range of TSLA Calls lined up on Friday, and those all fared extremely well also. The gains were even more impressive than those of the SPY, with a five, a six, and an eight-bagger in the mix!

$322.50 Calls – Range: 2.14-13.50 - Max Gain: 531%
$325 Calls – Range: 1.39-11.05– Max Gain: 636%
$327.50 Calls – Range: .90-8.80 - Max Gain: 878%


HAPPY NEW YEAR FROM BLUE HORSESHOE!

Despite the last few weeks of horrid market conditions, 2018 as a whole was another great year for us, and it was nice to finish it on a similar high note. We focused on, and will continue to focus on high risk high reward options plays, with stocks peppered in when appropriate. We appreciate every single one of our readers, and will strive to continue serving you well, as we head into Blue Horseshoe Stocks’ ninth calendar year! Happy New Year, and we look forward to a fantastic 2019!


Extended Watchlist:
ADMP, PLUG, CPB, SFL, NE, RAD, DNR, XXII, SFET, AMRS

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Blue Horseshoe Stocks: NKE Options & More

Nike, Inc. NKE 

We’re seeing a possible opportunity for NKE to close out the week today, despite the continued bearish activity for the markets at large. Like a lot of stocks, NKE is at its lowest prices in quite some time; in this case, seven months. But we are seeing the makings of a potential quick-strike play here, and we’d like to signal some options ideas to coincide with the present situation.

We;re going to focus in on the NKE Weekly $73-74 Calls after the company logged a beat on both earnings and revenues in its post-market release yesterday. Additionally the company provided stout guidance, so if anything has a chance to buck the trend and put forth a bullish session today, it would be Nike.


New Age Beverages, Inc. NBEV

Speaking of bucking the trend, NBEV, another anomalous performer that we’ve been tracking for quite some time has been flying in the face of current market sentiment for six weeks now.

When we high;lighted this stock on the morning of November 15th, it was trading for as little as 3.30, and after weeks of bullish sentiment, the stock has reached new highs at 6.90, which accounts for a move of 109%


Extended Watchlist:
CM, PLUG, ZNGA, VIVO, CGC, NTES, HEMP

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: BLNK, Bottom-Play & More

Blink Charging Co. BLNK

We signaled our interest in BLNK in yesterday morning’s premarket report via the Extended Watchlist, and we’re happy to report on what was a very productive first day of observation.

From a low of 4.34, BLNK made a highly respectable intraday run to 6.34, marking an intraday push of 46% Prior to Monday’s session, wherein the stock picked up in a big way, it had been trading sideways for quite some time. We will be interested in monitoring this play for the possibility of a more sustained uptrend in the days ahead.


Gogo. Inc. GOGO

We want to also bring some attention to the massive selloff which has occurred over the past three trading days. After trading for nearly $10/share, a disappointing earnings release and subsequent Moody’s downgrade has precipitated close to a 50% drop, leaving GOGO trading at just above $5.

We’re going to want to put this one on intensive bottom-watch, as we prepare for possible course correction leading to a bounce play opportunity.


Fresh Options Idea:
Trip Advisor, Inc. TRIP Weekly $45.50 & $46 Calls


Extended Watchlist:
UURAF, TRXC, PLUG, LC, MNKD, GRPN, ICHR, TWLO

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