Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Great Start to the Week

T2 Biosystems, Inc. TTOO

This past Thursday morning, we cautioned our readers that TTOO was heavily oversold, and sniffing out a bottom with a massive gap to the upside. As it turned out, our timing on that alert could not have any better. The stock saw its low of .52 that day and hasn’t looked back since. Yesterday, TTOO reached .76 which works out to a three-day upswing of 46%, a modest yet respectable move.

More importantly, the stock is once again taking off on the heels of a fresh PR this morning (below), reaching a new high of 1.13 in premarket trading. That further extends our observed range on this play to 117% as TTOO begins to fill the gap on the chart that we mentioned which runs up to the 1.36 mark.

LEXINGTON, Mass., Aug. 06, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — T2 Biosystems, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTOO) announced today that the United States Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) granted approval for a New Technology Add-on Payment (NTAP) for the T2Bacteria® Panel for FY 2020.

The T2Bacteria Panel, the first and only FDA-cleared test to identify sepsis-causing bacterial pathogens directly from whole blood in 3 to 5 hours without the need to wait for blood culture, is now also the first and only in-vitro diagnostic test to ever receive approval for NTAP. (>>View Full PR)


Options Reviews

SPDR S&P500 (ETF) SPY –  As a fresh options idea to start the week yesterday morning, and in light of the bearish market sentiments that we were sensing in the premarket, we went with SPY Weekly $290-288 Puts as our targets. Early indications ultimately proved to be correct, as the markets tanked on the day, sending those contracts on a huge ride.

The following multi-bag gains were there for taking: 

$290 Puts – Range: 2.27-8.19 – Max Gain: 261%
$289.50 Puts – Range: 1.98-7.30 – Max Gain: 269%
$289 Puts – Range: 1.51-7.10 – Max Gain: 370%
$288.50 Puts – Range: 1.29-5.54  – Max Gain: 329%
$288 Puts – Range: 1.18-6.10 – Max Gain: 417%

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Allakos, Inc. ALLK – We also signaled interest in the ALLK 08/16 $45-60 Calls yesterday in opposition to the market activity we were observing, and those targets bucked the trend quite nicely, with three out of the four producing notable opportunities on the day:

$45 Calls – Range: 16.41-25.53 – Max Gain: 56%
$55 Calls – Range: 9.00-15 60 – Max Gain: 73%
$60 Calls – Range: 6.75-14.20 – Max Gain: 110%
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Fresh Idea:
Emerson Electric Co. EMR 08/30 $63-64 Calls
Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc. IIPR 08/16 $100-105 Calls


Extended Watchist: 
ACB, ATRS, TOPS, KALA, PAYS, TELL, MYSZ, PLUG, CARS(Bottom-watch)

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Interesting Bottom Play

Chaparral Energy, Inc. CHAP

We noticed CHAP on our routine morning scan today, and wanted to highlight the current situation for the stock as a potential longer-term swing trade idea. We are attracted to the setup of the chart, which is presently exhibiting a classic double bottom. At the start of the calendar year, CHAP came off of the same lows and surged nearly 100% to the $8-range.

We also want to relay the cause of CHAP’s recent analyst upgrade. The company report a slew of operational and financial highlights in its recent 10-K pertaining to the company’s 4th quarter and full year 2018 performance.

CHAP Q4/FY 2018 Highlights

  • Recorded 2018 full year STACK production of 14.5 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d), representing a 52% year-over-year increase
  • Achieved 2018 full year total company production of 20.5 MBoe/d
  • Reported full year 2018 net income of $33.4 million, or 73 cents per diluted share
  • Achieved full year 2018 adjusted EBITDA, as defined below, of $125 million
  • Grew 2018 total proved reserves to 94.8 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBoe), which adjusted for 2018 divestitures marks a 35% year-over-year increase, and represents a PV-10 value of $686 million
    • Increased STACK proved reserves by 50% year-over-year to 74.1 MMBoe, while replacing 519% of STACK production
  • Invested $194.7 million in STACK drilling and completion (D&C) activities in 2018
  • Reduced total company lease operating expense per barrel of oil equivalent (LOE/Boe) almost $4 from $10.96 in 2017 to $7.24 in 2018
  • Strengthened the balance sheet by issuing $300 million of unsecured senior notes and increasing the borrowing base to $325 million in 2018 (>>View Source)

We’re going to be very interested to track the stocks progress on the heels of these revelations, and fully expect to see a sustain rebound attempt in the relatively near future.


Fresh Options Ideas:
DG Weekly $115-113 Puts

DLTR Weekly $103-101 Puts


Extended Watchlist:
INNT, DTCI, ORDO, AKTX, PLUG,

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: SPY Puts & More

SPDR S&P500 ETF (SPY) – Options Idea

We came up really big with some SPY options ideas just prior to the New Year break, and will look to continue that pattern today. The markets look to be gearing toward another slumping session, so we’re inclined to signal a range of of bearish ideas to correspond with the fund’s current activity.

We’re going to select the SPY 01/02 $248-245 Puts* for observation today, with the possibility of some considerable gain opportunities that would come our way with a bearish correction to last week’s bullish push.

Please note that these expire at the end of the day, and should thus be treated as Weekly options on a Friday. As we always mention in these instances: *Please do not attempt to trade options on the day they expire unless you’re a seasoned veteran trader with money to burn. While the potential rewards are great from this type of trading, the risk is equally grave.


Western Asset Mortgage Capital Corp.  WMC

We want to put WMC on watch as a Form-4 bottom play, after noticing that the CFO picked up a multi-million dollar block of shares toward the end of last week, just as the stock has been coming down to new 52-week lows.

We will put it on our radar and be looking for it to establish itself as a recovery play as we kick off this new trading year.


Extended Watchlist:
GNCA, EBR, AKER, WMC, PLUG, NDRA, FCEL, CPST, CCCL