Blue Horseshoe Stocks: State of the Cannabis Sector

State of the Cannabis Sector

Shockwaves rippled through the burgeoning cannabis sector yesterday, as the SEC imposed a halt on the trading of PHOT stock (effective through Apr. 24th). Being such a major player in this fledgling market space, the sanction on PHOT caused pot stocks across the board to register losses on the day. Coupled with the general backsliding of the overall markets, many of the pot stocks that we’ve been tracking ended in the red, however our overall feelings toward the sector have not changed.

This was not the first halt of a cannabis stock, with CANN having just resumed trading after its own halt just a few weeks ago. With the free-for-all that was taking place earlier this year at the height of the “Green Rush”, it is unsurprising that some have used the opportunity to take advantage, and only natural that the SEC would tend to these cases in such a manner.

The fact remains that many states have pending marijuana legislation on the docket for 2014, so we can be certain that we are only at the beginning of the story. Just look at the following map of the current state of marijuana law in the US:

As a whole, the progress that legalization proponents have made over just the past couple of years has been nothing short of astounding. In government, nothing happens overnight; it takes time to change laws, and the pace at which marijuana reform is occurring is impressive.

Bumps in the road like the PHOT halt (and others which are bound to occur) are to be expected, and in fact, makes the need for us to keep our fingers on the pulse of the cannabis space that much more vital. General pullbacks caused by fear and panic like the one we observed yesterday can often be used to acquire cheap stock, which in many cases will yield future opportunities.


AV1 Group, Inc. AVOP

One exception to the overall trend yesterday, was a recent successful marijuana-related call of ours, in AVOP. If you recall, when we brought this play to the table on Tuesday, the stock ran from a low of .0006 to .0015, gaining 150%

The following day, AVOP pushed to a high of .0018, moving our total possible gains on the stock up to 200% before coming down to find support in the .0012-.0014 range, which it held yesterday, despite pullbacks occurring all around the space.


Extended Watchlist:
PSID, MYMX, TVIX, AMPE,

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: AVOP, PBR, FRMC, UTRM

AV1 Group, Inc. AVOP

First thing’s first; we want to congratulate anyone that caught AVOP off of yesterday’s Extended Watchlist. Marijuana-related news strikes again! The stock traded as low as .0006 early in the morning, and would go on to push as high as .0015 just prior to the close.
That was good for an intraday run of 150% from this play on the heels of a press release stating that the company had been the subject of a friendly takeover by the Marijuana Incubator Group, which specializes in cultivation technology. We’ll definitely be following along with this story moving forward.

Petroleo Brasiliero S.A. (Petrobras) PBR

Yesterday we saw PBR make its first big consolidation since we began tracking its recovery off of all-time lows, but not before gapping up to a new high. It provides a good lesson as to why it’s always a good idea to sell into a gap-up and lock in those profits on strength.

Despite the dip, yesterday’s low of 13.70 is still significantly higher than its 11.25 price when we first came across the play on 03/21. We’d like to see support hold at or above that 13.70-mark, or risk seeing a more substantial pullback. Below that, the next level of support is the 200DMA at 13.47.

Overall, PBR and its options chain has exceeded our expectations at every turn, and provided it holds the level of support we just mentioned, we still like the May $12, and April $14 Calls for longer-term chances, and the $13.50 and $14 Weekly Calls for possible short-term opportunities.


Formcap Corp. FRMC

One of the potential bottom-plays we put forth in yesterday’s morning report went on to have quite a session. FRMC traded in a range from .031-.0489, representing a positive intraday move of 58%

It also marked the third consecutive session of the stock making both higher lows and higher highs, further confirming the uptrend off of its recent bottom.


United Treatment Centers, Inc. UTRM

We also want to point out one of our recent interests with fresh news hitting the wires this morning. We’ve been expecting an update from UTRM and it’s finally arrived:

LOS ANGELES, CA–(Marketwired – Apr 9, 2014) – United Treatment Centers Inc. (OTC Pink: UTRM) (PINKSHEETS: UTRM) DBA www.PotNetwork.tv: “We have closed our first round of financing and will launch full scale website/video operations on 4/20/2014. After fielding several offers, we have put together a structure that enhances shareholder value and is commensurate with our long term objectives” >> FULL PR


Speaking of marijuana-related plays, we will be re-alerting one of our old favorites tomorrow, be sure not to miss out on Thursday’s report hitting your inboxes between 9-9:30AM! This stock is primed with the potential for a serious move, so stay tuned!


Extended Watchlist:
JRCC, SNMX, MNGA, ZGNX, APP

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: PBR Update, New Bottom-Plays

Petroleo Brasiliero S.A. (Petrobras) PBR

Our regular readers are already extremely familiar with PBR, as it has been a topic of heavy discussion since first introducing it on Mar. 21st.  At the time, the stock was just coming off of its all-time low (03/17 @ 10.20), and following our initial mention, was trading at 11.25.

The chart we included in that report showed the gap that is currently being filled, now that the stock has broken into the 14.40’s in premarket trading. That leaves a clear path for this stock to break over $15 as it continues to fill the gap.

We were particularly interested in the May $12 Calls from the very start, which were at .31 at the time, and are now approaching 3.00 just as we suggested they might.

The $13 and $13.50 weekly calls we liked for short-term opportunities yesterday morning have done well too, with the $13’s trading in a range from 80-1.40 (+75%) and the $13.50’s spanned from .33-.90, gaining as much as 173%  We also have been alerting the June $14 calls which are up over 150% since we first introduced them to our readers in the .40 range. They reached 1.08 yesterday.

Given the current conditions, we may be looking at rolling our strike price up to the $14.50 Calls for further short-term opportunities.

All in all, PBR has behaved very predictably in its recovery thus far, providing us with chances to profit at every turn. Even where the stock is concerned, a position taken at our observed low of 11.25 on March 21st, is worth roughly 25-30% more at this morning’s premarket highs in the 14.40’s, and we expect that figure to grow.


More Potential Bottom-Plays

PBR has certainly shown us the value of a good bottom-play, and we have a couple of other candidates that fit that bill to add to the radar today:

NewLead Holdings Ltd. NEWL

As you can see from the following snapshot of the NEWL chart, this stock has been on a fairly steady decline since early this year. As it is gapping up in premarket trading this morning, there is a chance that the bounce could be taking place right here, so we’ll want to watch carefully. At present, NEWL is heavily oversold.

Formcap Corp. FRMC

FRMC is coming off of its own recent lows, and has made higher lows over the past three sessions. While it is not gapping up early on today like NEWL, we’ll still want to keep an eye peeled, as a return to recent levels for this play would mean significant gains from here.


Extended Watchlist:
PLUG, FCEL, ONCY, LMNS, ARTX, AVOP (Marijuana News)