Tag Archives: F

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Ford Options Recap & More

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Ford Motor Co. F

Back on February 12th, we flagged Ford as a bottom watch play after the company got off to a bad start in 2018. It had just begun to show signs of life, so we formulated an options idea to help us take advantage of the scenario.

Our targets were the F 03/02 10.37-11.37 Calls and we’ve seen some solid opportunities from three of the four contracts in that range in the two weeks since our alert.

$10.37 Calls – Range: .31-.55 – Max Gain: 77%
$10.87 Calls – Range: .04-.12 – Max Gain: 200%
$11 Calls – Range:.02-.07 – Max Gain: 250%

Target Corp. TGT

Yesterday morning we saw an opportunity to select a range of calls in the Target options chain, and decided to focus on the TGT Weekly $75-76.50 Calls for a fresh options idea. It was an immediate success, with TGT trading up enough to produce some really nice single-session swings.

$75 Calls – Range: 1.42-2.42 – Max Gain: 70%
$75.50 Calls – Range: 1.03-1.92 – Max Gain: 86%
$76 Calls – Range: .85-1.64 – Max Gain: 93%
$76.50 Calls – Range: .80-1.31 – Max Gain: 64%

Dean Foods Co. DF

We also want to put DF on our watchscreens as a bottom-watch play. The stock got absolutely crushed as a result of missed earnings and revenue estimates in its Q4 report, along with a  downgrade by Credit Suisse.

These events have driven DF into heavily oversold territory, registering a new 52-week low. The stock also has a history of relatively volatile swings, so we’re going to watch closely for the beginnings of a bottom bounce in sessions ahead. It may have further to fall, but we’ll be looking for that rebound.

Extended Watchlist:
AIPT, AKER, DDS, MNK, TTS, JCP, TTPH,

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Bottom-Watch Plays & More

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Ford Motor Co. F
Ford is the first of a couple of bottom-watch plays we want to signal for observation as we kick off a fresh trading week. The month of January was rough for the Detroit automaker, bringing a precipitous fall into heavily oversold territory.

We are just now, in February, beginning to see the signs of a recovery. As you can see on the snapshot of the chart below, the stock has just started to come off of being oversold and bounce off of its lowest PPS since August. The MACD also appears to be converging for an upcoming cross, and there’s a gap to the upside as well.

We’ll look to take advantage of this setup by tracking the F 03/02 10.37-11.37 Calls in the days and weeks ahead.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical, Inc. BMRN

Another potential bottom play we want to look at this morning is BMRN, which also recently has been beaten down to what we feel are unsustainable low levels. We’re getting a heavy multiple-bottom signal as the strength index is tumbling toward extremely oversold territory.

The look of the MACD suggests some further decrease or sideways trading could occur, which is why we’ll want to look at a set of extended term options contracts, the BMRN 03/16 $80 & 85 Calls. With over a month until expiration, that should give us ample time for the stock to realize the recovery it appears to be building toward.

Extended Watchlist:
AQMS, DO, NXTD, NGD, FNN, NOG, MARA, HMNY,

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: More Options Plays

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Netflix, Inc. NFLX – Options Idea

On the heels of the company’s solid quarterly report including adding over eight million new subscribers, we selected the NFLX Weekly $247.50-255 Calls as as our options trading targets, even as the stock had already pressed to a new all-time high, and there were high premiums baked into the options prices.

Our bullish hunch turned out to be absolutely correct, with the stock surging out of the gate and ultimately reaching a high of 257.71. A secondary move was there

That move facilitated some very nice intraday opportunities in our designated contracts:

$247.50 Calls – Range: 4.87-8.02 – Max Gain: 65%
$250 Calls – Range: 3.66-6.40 – Max Gain: 76%
$252.50 Calls – Range: 2.68-5.03 – Max Gain: 88%
$255 Calls - Range: 1.90-3.80 – Max Gain: 100%

Fresh Options Ideas

Continuing along the theme of using big name earnings beats as leverage to make quick-strike options trades, we’ve got a a fresh pair this morning. Ford and GE are both coming off of being oversold, compounding the chance for solid runs off of their bottoms.

We’re going to radar some contracts in each chain to try to take advantage of the situation:

Ford Motor Co. F – Feb 2nd $12 & 12.50 Calls

General Electric Co. GE – Weekly $17-18 Calls

Extended Watchlist:
OHGI, MSCC, OBLN, CRIS, PBR, TEL, STML, NXTD

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Fresh Options Ideas & More

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DSW Inc. DSW

In terms of things we routinely look for in stocks that we set our sights upon, DSW seems to currently have a lot to offer. It’s a stock that has just registered a new annual low, while rapidly approaching heavily oversold territory according to indicators on the chart.

The company also happens to have released its quarterly earnings this morning, the results of which exceeded expectations as DSW recorded its first same-store sales increases since 2015.

With all these things going for it, it seems only logical for us to formulate an options idea to put on our radars and monitor over the next few weeks. We’re going to have our eye on the DSW 09/15 $17.50 & $20 Calls.

Zion Oil & Gas, Inc. ZN

We’ve spotted a nice chart setup on ZN as well on our routine morning scan today. We’ve pointed that out on the chart below.

The stock had a really nice run back in June that carried it from the 1.40 area up to $7, and after consolidating off of those highs during the past several weeks, it seems to have found support and begun its next up-cycle.

Hypothetically, a return to the highs it saw earlier in the summer, would mean more than a double-bagger from current pricing.

Extended Watchlist:
ARCI, F, CLF, MTBC, FALC, WATT

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: New Options Ideas

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Jammin Java Corp. JAMN

We’d like to radar a familiar old play that we haven’t taken a close look at in nearly a year. JAMN, over the course of the past couple of months, has tumbled its way back to bargain-basement prices.

Now a subpenny play attempting to get a leg up over newly-registered 52-week lows, we’re going to be observing the stock for a potential recovery in sessions to come, as regaining just a fraction of the ground it’s lost recently could spell multi-bag upswings from current PPS levels.

Fresh Options Ideas

We’ve got a couple of new ideas on the options trading front this morning, and based on positioning on their charts, both of the following stocks may also be ripening for possible swing-trade opportunities.

Ford Motor Co. F – In addition to a slight ascending wedge pattern, F has a sizable gap to the upside not far off of the current pricing. Additionally, short interest on the stock has decreased by a large margin, setting us up to track some potential options ideas to correspond with what we think should be some upward momentum in coming sessions.

Along with F stock itself, we’re going to be tracking the F 10/14 $12-13 Calls for possible swing trades.
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Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. FCX – We’re interested in this copper play for a couple reasons this morning. A huge asset sale valued at roughly $2B hitting the newswires (>>Read More) is what has drawn our attention to FCX, in conjunction with a bottom bounce signal off of 5-month support levels on the chart.

We’ll be on the lookout for chances in the FCX 10/14 $11-12 Calls. Like the previously mentioned play, time won’t be as much of a factor here, with just over a month until these contracts are set to expire.

Extended Watchlist:
KTOS, NUGN, TURV, AGTK, TPLM