Month: December 2015

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Options Review & More

Options Update

Spirit Airlines, Inc. SAVE

On Wednesday, we identified a pair of SAVE options contracts as potential swing-trade candidates, specifically referring to the January 15th $40 and $45 Calls, and over the course of the session and-a-half since then, they’ve made quite a bit of progress. From Wednesday’s lows to Thursday’s highs, we’ve already seen upswings of 48% in the $40’s (2.90-4.30) and 93% in the $45’s (.70-1.35).

With more than two weeks until their expiration and SAVE shares still trading in the appropriate range, we’ll continue to keep a lookout for possible swing-trade chances from this particular options idea.

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Celgene Corp. CELG

Despite the decreased activity during the short week prior to the holiday break, we managed to spot some nice intraday swings from CELG options. We were on the trail of CELG Weekly $116-120 Calls starting on Wednesday, and after providing multi-bag gain opportunities on that day, they continued to produce during Thursday’s short session.

The $119’s and $120 were both still close enough to the money to yield significant moves over the half-day with the $119’s surging 77% from 2.12-3.75, and $120’s making an impressive 204% run from .97-2.95.

Chimerix, Inc. CMRX

CMRX set off our cliff-diver alarms this morning after shares plummeted more than 75% in premarket trading based on the clinical failure of one of the company’s late-stage trial drugs.

Whenever we see something like this unfold, our immediate instinct is to wait for the dust to settle, then strike as the rebound occurs. Knee-jerk selloffs of this magnitude don’t come along every day, but when they have in the past, we’ve almost always seen some measure of a recovery.

We’ll place CMRX on watch for such an event, provided it can hold at or above the $7-level moving forward.

Patriot National, Inc. PN

PN is another stock that was recently hammered back, and its own recovery is already in effect. In addition to insider buying in recent months and coming off of recent lows on the chart, the company announced a significant share repurchase to the tune of $20M this morning (View PR) that will avoid dilution from a previously announced private placement. We’ll be monitoring the stock for the possibility of a protracted recovery as we kick another short trading week.

Extended Watchlist:
GEQU, USPR, LOGG, IFUE

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: HK Update, Options Recap & More

First thing’s first- remember that the closing bell rings at 1PM today, whereupon we’ll break for a three-and-a-half day weekend. Allow us to preemptively extend to everyone glad tidings of rest and relaxation, and an enjoyable holiday break no matter how you choose to spend today and tomorrow’s market downtime!

But, before we can hang things up for the holidays we need to go over some of the great winning plays we’ve tracked on this short week; a feat which isn’t always easy to accomplish. 

Celgene Corp. CELG

CELG was gapping up yesterday on untraded-upon news, and the activity led us to formulate an idea for a range of options calls that we felt would see heavy activity.

Our specified targets were CELG Weekly $116-120 Calls and we were exceedingly pleased with the ensuing swing action:

$116 Calls – Trading Range: 3.46-6.60  – Max Gain: 91%
$117 Calls – Trading Range: 2.19-5.44  – Max Gain: 148%
$118 Calls – Trading Range: 1.55-4.70  – Max Gain: 203%
$119 Calls – Trading Range: 1.30-3.55 – Max Gain: 173%
$120 Calls – Trading Range: .75-3.10 – Max Gain: 313%

Swift Energy Co. SFYW

We placed SFYW on watch yesterday morning after noticing that the stock was attempting to sustain a rebound off of its recently established 52-week lows.

The stock did perform nicely, trading up from a low of .065 to .1049 for a 61% intraday rip. The move occurred on volume in excess of more than 5X the monthly average.

Remember, we also identified a gap on the SWYW from roughly .11-.16, so we’ll continue to keep this play on watch for as long as a run to fill that gap seems plausible.

Halycon Resources Corp. HK

We were quite accurate in our assessment of HK’s condition in Monday morning’s premarket report. The observations we relayed at the time were that: “Not only is the stock coming off of a new annual low registered on Thursday, but… five members of management filed Form-4′s indicating the purchase of shares at .26. Both occurrences qualify HK for an extended-term recovery watch.”

Over the course of this week we’ve liked the strides HK has made toward that recovery, running from Monday’s low of .2233 on up to a new high of .337 yesterday. That represents a respectable three-session swing of 51%

As you can see on the included chart below, there appears to still be room for the present run to grow, so we’ll be watching out for the stock to record higher highs and higher lows in coming sessions.

Extended Watchlist:
TALK, ARYC, DEQI, EFFI

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Fresh Options Ideas & More

Options Ideas

With stocks characteristically lagging a bit as we head into the holiday break, and figuring to do so until the turn of the new year, we’re going to zero in on a couple of potential options plays.

Celgene Corp. CELG

CELG is gapping up into the $120-range this morning, and we will be interested in tracking its activity as things open up today with untraded-upon news of a significant nature. The company achieved a favorable outcome on a long-standing patent dispute which was announced yesterday post-market (View PR).

We will be looking for a possible dip-and-rip scenario, and will want to see the 50DMA of 115.03 hold as support on any pullbacks. Provided it can manage that, we will look to the CELG Weekly* $116-120 Calls for the possibility of some intraday flip opportunities.

*We must remind everyone that Weekly options contracts for this week will expire upon tomorrow’s 1PM Eastern market close. 

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Spirit Airlines, Inc. SAVE

SAVE is currently striking us as a potential extended-term swing-trade candidate. Despite already having experienced a sharp uptrend at the beginning of this month to rebound off of its annual lows, the stock is still trading at roughly half of its 52-week high. The possibility of a protracted recovery is very real, in our opinion.

SAVE January 15th $40 & 45 Calls are going to be the contracts that we will be placing on watch this morning, and for the next few weeks.

Additionally, as we’ve pointed out on the chart below, there is a significant gap from roughly $45-49. The filling of this gap would undoubtedly produce serious gains in the aforementioned options.

Swift Energy Co. SWYW

Speaking of large chart gaps, we’ve noticed one on SFYW, which has managed to rebound after falling off a cliff a couple of sessions back. We’ve identified the gap on the following snapshot:

We’ll go ahead and put SFYW on our radars over the next several sessions; a return to pre-gap PPS levels would spell a double-bagger from the current price.

Extended Watchlist:
NXGA, TALK, BLTA, LTNC, KWBT