Blue Horseshoe Stocks: UGAZ, FXCM Update & More

VelocityShares 3X Long Natural Gas ETNĀ  (UGAZ)

In what is shaking out to be a characteristically slow short week for stocks in general, we’re going to adjust our focus a bit and turn to UGAZ. This triple-leveraged natural gas bull ETN has been gaining momentum and rebounding nicely off of its recently-established 52-week lows.

We’ll look for UGAZ to continue registering higher lows and higher highs, and make its way toward the 50DMA of 3.06. As we’ve pointed out on the chart below, there are a number of bullish indicators drawing our attention.

We’d also consider this idea to have a seasonal advantage as we are heading into the two coldest months of the year; the time when natural gas consumption rate is at its annual peak. We’ll eagerly place this note on watch in coming weeks to see how it responds to rising natural gas demand.


FXCM, Inc. FXCM

We placed FXCM on watch exactly two weeks ago and at the time, we observed a low of 6.68 in the stock and it never looked back. In the ten sessions since that alert, it has made some very impressive leaps and bounds.

The activity culminated in a new milestone for FXCM during yesterday’s session as it reached as high as 19.74, which represented a remarkable swing of 196%


Extended Watchlist:
CMRX, SBFM, BIEI, GRNH, SFYW, HCTI, AKVA

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Options Review & More

Options Update

Spirit Airlines, Inc. SAVE

On Wednesday, we identified a pair of SAVE options contracts as potential swing-trade candidates, specifically referring to the January 15th $40 and $45 Calls, and over the course of the session and-a-half since then, they’ve made quite a bit of progress. From Wednesday’s lows to Thursday’s highs, we’ve already seen upswings of 48% in the $40’s (2.90-4.30) and 93% in the $45’s (.70-1.35).

With more than two weeks until their expiration and SAVE shares still trading in the appropriate range, we’ll continue to keep a lookout for possible swing-trade chances from this particular options idea.

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Celgene Corp. CELG

Despite the decreased activity during the short week prior to the holiday break, we managed to spot some nice intraday swings from CELG options. We were on the trail of CELG Weekly $116-120 Calls starting on Wednesday, and after providing multi-bag gain opportunities on that day, they continued to produce during Thursday’s short session.

The $119’s and $120 were both still close enough to the money to yield significant moves over the half-day with the $119’s surging 77% from 2.12-3.75, and $120’s making an impressive 204% run from .97-2.95.


Chimerix, Inc. CMRX

CMRX set off our cliff-diver alarms this morning after shares plummeted more than 75% in premarket trading based on the clinical failure of one of the company’s late-stage trial drugs.

Whenever we see something like this unfold, our immediate instinct is to wait for the dust to settle, then strike as the rebound occurs. Knee-jerk selloffs of this magnitude don’t come along every day, but when they have in the past, we’ve almost always seen some measure of a recovery.

We’ll place CMRX on watch for such an event, provided it can hold at or above the $7-level moving forward.


Patriot National, Inc. PN

PN is another stock that was recently hammered back, and its own recovery is already in effect. In addition to insider buying in recent months and coming off of recent lows on the chart, the company announced a significant share repurchase to the tune of $20M this morning (View PR) that will avoid dilution from a previously announced private placement. We’ll be monitoring the stock for the possibility of a protracted recovery as we kick another short trading week.


Extended Watchlist:
GEQU, USPR, LOGG, IFUE