Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Closing Out a Huge Week

Options Review

We’ve have some very good fortune with our options calls this week, extending a rather consistent trend that has been in place for all of 2019 thus far. You don’t have to take our word for it though- a simple scroll down the archive pages of BlueHorseshoeStocks.com shows the consistency with which we have found multi-bag gain potential in the options trading arena. It is a highly regular occurrence that is easily verifiable to any skeptics.

Yesterday’s fresh ideas for FB and NOW were no exception, with some very nice intraday opportunities stemming from those plays just before midday:

Facebook, Inc. FB Weekly $195-200 Calls
$255 Calls – Range:
.85-2.18 – Max Gain: 156%
$257.50 Calls – Range: .36-1.11  – Max Gain: 208%
$255 Calls – Range: .16-.48 – Max Gain: 200%
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ServiceNow, Inc. NOW Weekly $255-257.50 Calls
$255 Calls – Range:
7.19-14.90 – Max Gain: 107%
$257.50 Calls – Range: 4.50-12.50  – Max Gain: 178%
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FRESH IDEAS:

GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK Weekly $40-40.50 Calls*
GlaxoSmithKline plc GSK 05/17 $41 Calls
SPDR S&P500 ETF (SPY) Weekly $291.50-292 Calls*
Ford Motor Co. F Weekly $9.50-10 Calls*

*Please don’t trade weekly options on a Friday if you are not an expert-level trader with access to disposable funds!


Extended Watchlist:
CLNY, AKTX, TEUM, GNC, LTBR, EMES

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: Interesting Bottom Play

Chaparral Energy, Inc. CHAP

We noticed CHAP on our routine morning scan today, and wanted to highlight the current situation for the stock as a potential longer-term swing trade idea. We are attracted to the setup of the chart, which is presently exhibiting a classic double bottom. At the start of the calendar year, CHAP came off of the same lows and surged nearly 100% to the $8-range.

We also want to relay the cause of CHAP’s recent analyst upgrade. The company report a slew of operational and financial highlights in its recent 10-K pertaining to the company’s 4th quarter and full year 2018 performance.

CHAP Q4/FY 2018 Highlights

  • Recorded 2018 full year STACK production of 14.5 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d), representing a 52% year-over-year increase
  • Achieved 2018 full year total company production of 20.5 MBoe/d
  • Reported full year 2018 net income of $33.4 million, or 73 cents per diluted share
  • Achieved full year 2018 adjusted EBITDA, as defined below, of $125 million
  • Grew 2018 total proved reserves to 94.8 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBoe), which adjusted for 2018 divestitures marks a 35% year-over-year increase, and represents a PV-10 value of $686 million
    • Increased STACK proved reserves by 50% year-over-year to 74.1 MMBoe, while replacing 519% of STACK production
  • Invested $194.7 million in STACK drilling and completion (D&C) activities in 2018
  • Reduced total company lease operating expense per barrel of oil equivalent (LOE/Boe) almost $4 from $10.96 in 2017 to $7.24 in 2018
  • Strengthened the balance sheet by issuing $300 million of unsecured senior notes and increasing the borrowing base to $325 million in 2018 (>>View Source)

We’re going to be very interested to track the stocks progress on the heels of these revelations, and fully expect to see a sustain rebound attempt in the relatively near future.


Fresh Options Ideas:
DG Weekly $115-113 Puts

DLTR Weekly $103-101 Puts


Extended Watchlist:
INNT, DTCI, ORDO, AKTX, PLUG,

Blue Horseshoe Stocks: APC Review & More

Versartis, Inc. VSAR

It isn’t just bullish activity that draws us to a stock. Any type of increase in volatility generally causes us to take note, and the rapid fashion in which VSAR is crashing this morning is about as volatile as it gets. The company failed to meet primary endpoints on its HGH study, and the stock fell through the floor, losing over 80% of its value thus far.

Regardless of the catalyst, whenever such a huge selloff occurs in such a hurried way, we go into bottom-watch mode, and wait for the eventual bounce. So we’ll have VSAR on our radars moving forward, watching for signs of solid support and subsequent rebound.


Anadarko Petroleum Corp. APC

The announcement of an enormous 10% share reduction via buyback program had exactly the effect we suspected it would yesterday, after we signaled a range of calls to observe in our premarket report.

Those targets were the APC 09/29 $47-48.50 Calls and each of them made a move to the upside. We also mentioned we’d be watching them beyond yesterday’s session, and sure enough the stock appears to want to gap up this morning and add to the gains we’ve already witnessed, which were as follows:

$47 Calls – Range: 1-1.60 – Max Gain: 60%
$47.50 Calls – Range: 1.29-1.40 – Max Gain: 9%
$48 Calls – Range:.62-.95 – Max Gain: 53%
$48.50 Calls – Range: .50-.83 – Max Gain: 66%
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Fresh Post-Earnings Options Idea:
CarMax, Inc. KMX $69.50-71.50 Calls*

*We never discuss weekly options on a Friday without going out of our way to warn our readers that trading contracts with a weekly expiration on a Friday is exceedingly risky and should only ever be attempted by expert traders!!!


Extended Watchlist:
ETRM, EBIO, S, AKTX, SBGL, CAPR, MNKD